标签： 广州阡陌同城

　　The global financial crisis is spreading. At the critical moment when the new round of nuclear disarmament negotiations between the United States and Russia is about to begin, Russia has thrown out a military reform plan that is said to be "unprecedented", aiming at building a world-class army through streamlining reforms. This reform plan involves many aspects, such as the reduction of middle and senior officers, the reform of the establishment system, and the renewal of weapons and equipment, and proposes to complete the disarmament reform goal within three to four years.

　　The Russian military’s military reform plan this time reflects the tough attitude of the new president Medvedev towards military reform, and its intensity is indeed unprecedented. However, the author believes that the Russian military reform is bound to be affected by the world financial crisis and other factors, and will face many difficulties. There are still many variables in whether its reform goals can be achieved as scheduled.

　　The new and old presidents relay disarmament to promote the reform of the Russian army, and the "Mapo combination" and "strong alliance" are conducive to the development of the Russian army

　　In 2000, when Putin took over the presidency from Yeltsin, he was faced with the great challenge of revitalizing the Russian economy and reducing the Russian army. After eight years in office, President Putin, known as the strongman of Russia, showed his strong ruling style with all his strength and boldly reformed the economy, so that the Russian economy gradually stepped out of the trough and its international status rose day by day.

　　At the same time, he also attached great importance to Russia’s national defense construction, especially the military reform, advocated reducing the redundant establishment of various powerful departments, and put forward the idea that the quality of army building and army building should be adapted to the country’s economic capacity, and the military strength of the Ministry of National Defense and other powerful departments should be developed in a balanced way. In fact, during his presidency, Putin put forward the goal of reducing Russian troops from 1.2 million to 1 million. However, due to various reasons, the goal of army reduction was finally not achieved.

　　After taking office as president, Medvedev continued the "Putin line", still defended Russia’s national interests as strongly as Putin, took building a stronger Russia as his own responsibility, and appeared in front of the world in a tougher posture, "inheriting" Putin’s thoughts on issues involving the fundamental interests of Russia, such as political diplomacy, economic development and national defense construction. For example, in terms of national security strategy, it is still necessary to rely on strong military strength to prevent and contain various threats to Russia, requiring the Russian army to always maintain a high degree of combat readiness and ensure strategic containment of any potential enemy, especially strategic nuclear containment to deal with possible invasion; In national defense construction, we will persist in building a "more efficient and modern" army and "build an army that conforms to the country’s economic strength and can reliably guarantee national security." In particular, it is very important for Russia’s political stability and inheritance to let former President Putin become the prime minister of the government and form a "strong alliance" political situation.

　　Although there have been many new speculations in the western media about the relationship between the "Mapp combination" in the past year, the two men are politically consistent, especially in their understanding of the goal of military reform. Although Putin became prime minister, he still paid attention to the army and supported its reform. Last year, when the Russian army clashed with the Georgian army, Putin personally flew to North Ossetia for inspection. The introduction of the plan to reduce the army to 1 million is not only the continuation of President Medvedev’s "disarmament line" to former President Putin, but also the consensus reached by President Mei and Prime Minister Pu on the future reform and development of the Russian army.

　　One is a strong president and the other is a strong prime minister. This politically highly consistent "strong alliance" and "Mapp combination" will be conducive to the realization of the Russian military reform goal. However, the reform of the Russian army will still face pressure from many sides, even opposition and blame.

　　The contradiction between rebuilding an economic power and building a military power is prominent, and it is difficult to have both fish and bear’s paw at the same time.

　　Since Putin took office as federal president, he has regarded the development of military forces as an important part of Russian national development. With the Russian economy gradually coming out of the trough, the Russian government has gradually increased its investment in national defense, showing a trend of substantial increase year by year. During Putin’s eight years as president, Russia’s military expenditure increased by about 27% every year. In order to carry out the new "realistic containment" military strategy and further demonstrate its military strength, since 2008, Russia has dispatched navies and air forces to all the oceans in the world, as far away as Venezuela, Cuba, Somalia and other regions and sea areas, and even envisaged the establishment of military bases in Yemen, Cuba, Venezuela and Syria, which seems to make people feel that Russia has become an economic and military power that can compete with the United States.

　　However, this is not the case. Russia is still far from the goal of "building an army that conforms to the country’s economic strength and can reliably guarantee national security." Judging from the current situation of the Russian army, although it has been disarmed several times, the army is still plagued by the problem of redundant staff. The Russian army has about 1.2 million regular troops, but the proportion of its officers is as high as 30% (the proportion of officers in the western developed countries is 7.5% ~ 15%). In addition, there are more than 2.1 million paramilitary forces in Russia, which add up to about 3.3 million people. The Russian Ministry of Defence has publicly admitted that over the years, as much as 70% of the Russian military’s military expenditure has been used for salaries. As a result, we can’t squeeze enough money to buy new weapons and equipment, strengthen the development of new weapons and upgrade the existing weapons.

　　It can be seen that although the Russian economy has gone out of the trough, there is still a gap between its strength and status as an economic power, and it is still inadequate to build a world-class army in a short period of time. Only when the country is rich can the army be strengthened. Without the development of the national economy, it is impossible to develop the army building. Only when the army building develops in harmony with the national economic construction is the most reasonable development. Russian military construction will also follow this development path, and it may take longer.

　　US-Russian nuclear disarmament affects Russian military reform plan.

　　After the new US President Barack Obama took office, in order to promise the concept of "pursuing a world without nuclear weapons" put forward during the election campaign, he advocated to start negotiations with Russia as soon as possible to reduce their respective nuclear weapons reserves by 80%, that is, to keep 1,000 nuclear warheads in the United States and Russia. On the one hand, the United States wants to deploy anti-missile systems in eastern Europe, and on the other hand, it wants Russia to reduce its nuclear weapons in large numbers, which has caused strong opposition in Russia:

　　Russian military experts first raised strong opposition to this, warning that Russia’s nuclear weapons will not be able to deal with the US anti-missile system after reduction, and warned that by 2015, the US nuclear forces will be able to destroy all Russian nuclear weapons at one time, and Russia should be prepared for this.

　　In fact, there are still substantive differences of position between Russia and the United States on some principled issues of signing the new treaty. The Russian side believes that "the number of nuclear warheads in the arsenal should be clearly defined and documented in legal form, which is transparent and clear to people." The United States wants to be limited to nuclear warheads deployed on delivery vehicles, so that the nuclear warheads in stock and strategic delivery vehicles will not be within the scope of the treaty. Russia believes that nuclear disarmament negotiations should not only include the reduction of strategic nuclear weapons, but also extend to all aspects of this issue, such as the deployment of missile defense systems by the United States in Eastern Europe.

　　Russia has always been dissatisfied with the deployment of the missile defense system by the United States in Eastern Europe, and NATO has been expanding eastward, even setting up missile early warning systems and anti-missile bases in Poland and other countries, which makes Russia very angry. Russia warned that if the United States insists on deploying a missile defense system in Europe, the planned base will become the target of Russian attack.

　　Under the severe situation of American strategic squeeze and NATO’s eastward expansion, whether Russia’s existing military strength can effectively deal with the surrounding security threats is the most worrying thing for Russia. Only by "retaining a considerable number of nuclear forces" as a deterrent force can Russia ensure the reasonable scale of conventional forces and compete with the United States and NATO, which will directly affect Russia’s reform and development of the military.

　　The military reform plan is ambitious, and it is difficult to push forward the reform.

　　At the end of 2005, the Russian military proposed a new reform plan to reduce the total number of Russian troops from 1.2 million to 1 million. According to the idea, the existing organizational system of services and arms will be abolished, and the corresponding command institutions will be dissolved, replaced by six headquarters, the military region will be abolished, and the functions of the Ministry of National Defense and the General Staff will be divided into two lines according to government decrees and military orders. But a few years later, the slogan of disarmament is still "thunder is loud, little rain". Obviously, the Russian military’s disarmament has encountered great resistance. From the analysis, there are three major difficulties:

　　One is political pressure. The Russian Communist Party recently openly opposed the military reform carried out by Russia, calling it destructive. Serdyukov, the Russian defense minister, was asked to resign. In a recent statement issued by the Central Committee of the Russian Communist Party and the Duma Party Group of the party, it was pointed out: "This reform may be the most destructive since Peter the Great founded the Russian army in the 3rd century. If our army moves from the most difficult Great Patriotic War to a strong one, it may lose its ability to defend Russia in general because of serdyukov’s’ reform’ in peacetime. "

　　Some military experts also said that in the face of NATO’s eastward expansion and the pressing policy of the United States to deploy anti-missile systems in Eastern Europe, once Russia is disarmed to 1 million people, it will be difficult to cope with conventional military actions, and the terrorist forces are even more important.

　　In addition, it is still unknown whether the uncertain factors in India-Pakistan border, Israel-Pakistan conflict, Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, Somalia, the DPRK and the ROK can give Russia a "peaceful environment" to make its army calm down and carry out reforms.

　　Second, it comes from economic difficulties. Affected by the world financial crisis, it is also unknown whether the Russian government can guarantee the funds needed to realize the reform goal of "making the army more efficient and modern and making the life of Russian soldiers more comfortable" in the next three to four years.

　　The third is the resistance from senior officers. The war made the Russian army realize the inevitability and urgency of military reform, but the military layoffs also made the officers realize the cruelty and helplessness of giving up their interests. The number of Russian military disarmament this time is not large, but the layoffs are mainly officers. By 2012, the number of Russian military officers will be reduced from 355,000 to 150,000. In particular, the reduction focuses on middle and senior officers, of whom the number of generals has been reduced from the current 1,107 to 877. Some of these officers may retire directly, and some may face the situation of no fixed place, unemployment and long-term inability to find a job. Therefore, it is not difficult to understand the strong resistance from military officers, especially senior officers, to military reform. However, the reform will be inevitable, and where the disarmament plan goes will ultimately depend on whether President Medvedev’s disarmament determination is firm enough.

　　The financial crisis has spread all over the world, and the reform and development of the Russian army will certainly face greater challenges.

　　According to reports, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin announced that from 2009 to the end of 2011, Russia will spend 4 trillion rubles (about 140 billion US dollars) on the upgrading plan of military weapons and equipment. In 2009, the Russian government will provide 1 trillion rubles to the Ministry of National Defense, which is mainly used to purchase new weapons technology and equipment.

　　According to previous reports, Russian military procurement in 2009 increased by 30% year-on-year, which will set a new record of 1.3 trillion rubles, while in 2010 and 2011, it will increase by 30 billion rubles and 70 billion rubles respectively. It seems that Russia’s plan to develop its army in recent years has been finalized and will soon enter the implementation stage.

　　However, the financial crisis is spreading around the world, which will directly turn into an economic crisis. Russia’s economic growth has begun to slow down. Since last year, Russia’s oil revenue has been greatly reduced, and the government’s fiscal revenue has decreased. The Russian ruble has depreciated by 35% against the US dollar. Last year, Russia’s stock market fell by 70%. There are indications that Russia’s economic situation this year is not optimistic.

　　The financial crisis has greatly affected Russia’s fiscal revenue, which has restricted the realization of Russia’s military budget from the macro-economic level and will definitely affect the realization of Russia’s military development plan. In addition, due to the impact of the international financial crisis, the military departments and military industries of all countries in the world have been severely impacted, lacking funds, laying off employees and turbulent raw material markets. Therefore, Russia’s military production will be seriously affected, which will further affect the realization of the planned development goals of the Russian army. The crisis is still spreading, and it seems that it has not bottomed out. The reform and development of the Russian army will certainly face greater challenges brought about by the financial crisis.

　　In short, the direction of Russian military reform and development is in line with the requirements of the times, and the practice of saving financial resources and improving capabilities through "downsizing" of the military is also in line with Russia’s actual situation. However, due to the global financial crisis, international politics, domestic economic development and social environment, its reform and development will not be smooth sailing.

Editor: Li Yongchao

　　On September 3, the domestic vegetable futures collectively changed, with both rapeseed meal futures and rapeseed oil futures hitting their daily limit, and rapeseed futures rose by more than 9%.

　　Wenhua Finance data show that as of 13:54 Beijing time, the main contract of rapeseed meal futures hit the daily limit price of 2375 yuan/ton, up 6.03%; the main contract of rapeseed oil futures reported 8875 yuan/ton, up 5.32%, once hit the daily limit price of 8933 yuan/ton; the main contract of rapeseed futures reported 5276 yuan/ton, up 7.70%, and rose by more than 9% during the session.

　　On the news, on September 3, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Commerce pointed out in response to a reporter’s question on Canada’s trade restrictions against China that China will launch an anti-dumping investigation on Canadian rapeseed imports in accordance with relevant domestic laws and regulations and WTO rules. China will also initiate an anti-dumping investigation on Canadian chemical products based on domestic industry applications.

　　Industry insiders said that the above anti-dumping investigation news detonated the domestic cuisine futures market.

　　From a fundamental perspective, Galaxy FuturesResearcher Liu Qiannan said that in terms of European rapeseed, the European Union crop report in August continued to reduce the yield of European rapeseed from 3.1 tons/ha in July to 3.07 tons/ha, lower than the 5-year average. At present, the harvest of European rapeseed has been completed, and the output of new crops of European rapeseed has decreased by about 1.50 million tons year-on-year.

　　As for Canadian rapeseed, the rapeseed harvest has started one after another. As of the week of August 19, the rapeseed harvest progress in Alberta was only 0.2%, while the rapeseed harvest in Saskatchewan was 2%, lower than the same period last year. Recently, Statistics Canada raised the area sown and harvested last year’s rapeseed in Canada, which increased the output of old crops by 860,000 tons. At the same time, Canada raised the estimate of new crop production to 19.50 million tons, exceeding the market expectation of 19.217 million tons. In the next one to two weeks, the hot weather in Canada may continue, and the rainfall is expected to increase, but then the rainfall will continue to be less.

　　In terms of inventories, as of August 18, Canadian canola commercial inventories were 1.4949 million tons, down from the previous week, but inventories were significantly higher than the same period in history, and short-term Canadian canola supplies remained loose.

　　On the current Chinese rapeseed inventory, land futures research institute analyst Liu Huihua said that due to the large number of imports, rapeseed inventory as a whole is high, August 23 week coastal oil plant rapeseed inventory of 468,500 tons, slightly lower than the previous two weeks 500,000 tons of inventory.

　　Yesterday, the police blockbuster "Witness" held a press conference. Director Lin Chaoxian appeared with Nicholas Tse, Zhang Jingchu, and the nursery. Nicholas Tse spoke sweetly about his wife and children, saying that Cecilia and children are "my motivation, not a burden". He also said that Cecilia is not taking up work now, and it is her duty to take care of children at home.

　　Our reporter, Cheng *******, photography report

　　Direct hit on the spot, the four main creators "mutually sealed" the best actor and queen

　　The director of this film, Lin Chaoxian, is a new generation director in Hong Kong. His representative works include "Thousand Opportunities" and "The Story of the Wind and Clouds". He is full of confidence in the box office, and he released a bold statement on the spot that he will use this film to advance to the ranks of billion-dollar box office directors. In the trailer that was first exposed yesterday, the reporter saw a large number of fierce street fights in Hong Kong, and the handsome guy Xiao Xie had a reborn performance, rough and strong, full of mature man flavor. And Zhang Jingchu completely changed his image and played a strong woman.

　　Want to use this corner to compete for next year’s Academy Award Best Actor

　　When the media asked Nicholas Tse if he wanted to be the successor of Andy Lau, he said that it was an honor to be known as the successor of Andy, who he respected very much. However, Nicholas Tse, who has a strong personality, said that he did not want to be the successor of anyone. He just wanted to do his job well, do his job well, and make every play well. As for how the outside world evaluates it, he will not pay too much attention to it.

　　Tse, who is a father, clearly understands responsibilities and obligations better. He admits that because it is the first time to play opposite children, there is a lot of inner drama, which is more difficult. He said that he has been honing his acting skills in recent years, hoping to get rid of the shackles of the idol school title. "I hope that I can compete for the best actor at the Academy Award next year with’Witness’." As for whether he can become a new generation of powerful figures in the Hong Kong film industry in recent years, he said, "Let me give the best answer with my performance."

　　After filming, Nicholas Tse will shake Zhang Jingchu’s hand

　　The temperature in Beijing dropped sharply yesterday, but Zhang Jingchu appeared in a cool tube top skirt as a prosecutor with two children, and she chose the word "struggle" to describe her performance in the film. Zhang Jingchu said that in the film, facing the pain of losing her daughter due to the threat of kidnappers, it is very difficult to not only keep a strong woman calm, but also to struggle between justice and evil.

　　Asked by a reporter whether the now dedicated Tse was similar to the Andy Lau she once worked with, she laughed and said, "I have worked with both of them, and I have killed all the handsome guys, and both of them are great actors." My impression of him was that he was very handsome and self-centered, as if he was the only one in his world, maybe that’s why many girls are crazy about him. "Then she added tactfully," In fact, he is a sensitive and soft-hearted person, but he is not used to showing that side in public. "After each filming, she said, Xiao Xie shook her hand and asked herself if this would help her get into the situation of the play." There was a case of going through garbage in a garbage dump. In order to be real, he had to smear his hands with leftovers and leftovers. The unpleasant smell made the staff cover their noses and run away, but Nicholas Tse did not change his face. "

　　Nursery yesterday wore a royal blue dress and pink sexy stockings. In the film, she played Zhang Jiahui’s paralyzed lover, and she could only "act" with her fingers and eyes. Director Lin Chaoxian praised her and said, "You can win next year’s Academy Award for Supporting Actress with a few eyes." Nursery immediately returned the best director and best actor to Lin Chaoxian and Nicholas Tse.

　　Media interview "Cecilia Cheung is doing what a mother should do"

　　Yesterday, Nicholas Tse showed emotional maturity, revealing that he has been grinding his acting skills, and confidently said that he will compete for the best actor in next year’s Academy Awards with this film, and asked the media to be "witnesses" for him and this film.

　　Nicholas Tse, who is desperately trying to take on the show and earn money to support his family, was exposed by the creators yesterday. And Nicholas Tse’s words revealed his true feelings after the ups and downs, and he admitted that "he has never cried like this on the screen". This mature man moved the audience with his sense of responsibility and willingness to take responsibility.

　　Reporter: The creators all said that you worked very hard on the set, and a lot of flying car fights were played in person?

　　Nicholas Tse: In the movie, I played a police officer who was eager for self-redemption and was very responsible. I even took the risk to climb the exterior wall of a 7-story building on the street of Mong Kok. Once, after filming a fight scene, glass shards entered my eyes and insisted on going home after filming. The pain was unbearable, and I didn’t want to tell my family. But after staying up all night, I couldn’t stand going to the hospital at 4 am and found that my cornea was seriously scratched. Although I was forbidden by the doctor to work again, I went to film after two days of rest.

　　Reporter: Would you consider the feelings of your family when filming such a dangerous play?

　　Nicholas Tse: When shooting, if a lot of dangerous actions were 0.01 seconds late, I wouldn’t be able to stand here today. Cecilia and the children, they are my driving force, not my burden. When shooting dangerous scenes, I think I can complete that action and do it better, so that when the child grows up, he can feel that his father did not come from a blank sheet of paper, and his father has paid seriously. After his (son’s) 1st birthday, I personally cut an action short film for him, so that he can watch it when he grows up. I hope that in the future, he will understand that his father fought so hard because he doesn’t want his son to fight so hard in the future.

　　Reporter: There are rumors that Cecilia wants to let her son Lucas enter the entertainment industry to shoot advertisements. Is the news true?

　　Nicholas Tse: In fact, there have been such rumors since he was born. There are indeed many friends and advertisers looking for us, but I will not let him enter this circle so early. Indeed, I do not want him to take this path.

　　Reporter: Cecilia has been resting at home, and you have just bought a luxury house worth nearly 100 million yuan for your family. Will it be too stressful to support your family alone?

　　Nicholas Tse: My wife, she does what a mother should do, because my father has no time, only my mother takes care of the children. In fact, I have been working hard outside, and it was the same before marriage. I have never changed. All along, no matter everything, movies and music, my love life has been overwhelmed. In fact, Nicholas Tse has not changed from his teens to his twenties, but my growth has been watched.

　　Reporter: How is Cecilia now? Will she make a comeback?

　　Nicholas Tse: She just enjoys her current life temporarily, and occasionally goes shopping to eat. (interrupted by the staff)

　　Reporter: Did you ever force Jingchu to beat yourself up in the play?

　　Nicholas Tse: In the film, I was hit by Zhang Jingchu many times. She didn’t dare to hit me at that time, so she tried to slap her seventeen or eighteen times, but it was too light. The director asked me to talk to her by myself, but I didn’t think it was enough to encourage her, so I made her unhappy. I told her that if you really fight, don’t worry. If you don’t hit Nicholas Tse, you will regret it for the rest of your life.

　　Reporter: In a scene with a 6-year-old girl, your hoarse crying was very impressive.

　　Nicholas Tse: I have never cried on the screen like this. I was so stressed that I didn’t know if I could achieve an emotional outburst. After more than 20 hours of filming that day, I kept thinking about some unhappy things and tortured my soul. As a result, I entered the play and cried earth-shattering.

Editor in charge: Li Dan

　　2023 The 58th Shenzhen Bay Automobile Exhibition

　　Time: March 4th to 5th, 2023

　　Venue: China Resources Shenzhen Bay Sports Center

　　The 58th Shenzhen Bay Automobile Exhibition in 2023 will be held from March 4th to 5th at the "Spring Cocoon" of China Resources Shenzhen Bay Sports Center. In this exhibition, the brands you want to see can be described as everything. From RVs and commercial vehicles to modified cars, from Japanese, American, German and Korean brands to independent brands, from fuel vehicles and hybrid vehicles to new energy vehicles, it is estimated that there will be 90+ brands and 300 exhibitors participating in the exhibition, and everyone can choose from a wide range.

　　New year’s car carnival! All kinds of RVs, commercial vehicles, modified cars, new energy and smart cars are assembled … The first exhibition of Shenzhen Bay in 2023 is not to be missed! Hailing Auto Show Organizing Committee News: The 58th Shenzhen Bay Auto Show in 2023 will be held in the Spring Cocoon of China Resources Shenzhen Bay Sports Center from March 4th to 5th. The automobile exhibition is sponsored by Hailing Auto Show Organizing Committee and CheDidi Auto Network, which is co-organized by CheDi Auto Network, and undertaken by Shenzhen Hailing Exhibition Co., Ltd., and HALI Hailing advertising is integrated and promoted.